Capacity PlanningvsLean Operations

Capacity planning is the process of determining how much work your team can handle and aligning resources to demand. The core calculation is: Available Capacity = Team Size × Working Hours × Productivity Factor (typically 0.6-0.8 after meetings, admin, and context-switching). A team of 5 engineers working 40h/week at 70% productivity has 140 productive hours/week, not 200. Companies that do capacity planning well ship 35% more features per engineering dollar by eliminating both overwork (burnout → turnover) and underutilization (idle teams → wasted salary).

Lean operations systematically eliminates waste — any activity that consumes resources without creating customer value. Toyota identified 7 types of waste: overproduction, waiting, transport, over-processing, inventory, motion, and defects. Lean companies can operate at 50-70% lower cost than non-lean competitors while delivering higher quality.

The capacity trap is planning at 100% utilization. Organizations that load teams to 95-100% see throughput DECREASE by 20-30% because there's no buffer for bugs, urgent requests, sick days, or creative thinking. McKinsey's research shows optimal knowledge work utilization is 70-85% — above that, quality drops, bugs increase, and burnout skyrockets. Another trap: headcount-based planning. Adding 1 engineer doesn't add 1 engineer's worth of output — it adds 0.5-0.7 due to onboarding, mentoring overhead, and increased communication costs (Brooks's Law).

Teams apply 'lean' as an excuse to under-invest. Real lean isn't about cutting corners — it's about cutting WASTE. Eliminating your QA team isn't lean, it's reckless. Automating repetitive QA tests so your team focuses on complex edge cases? That's lean.

Calculate your team's true capacity: (Number of ICs × Weekly Hours × Productivity Factor) - Planned meetings - On-call hours = Actual Weekly Capacity. Track velocity (story points or tickets completed) over 4-week rolling average. If actual output is consistently below 70% of theoretical capacity, audit where time goes — most teams lose 30-40% to meetings, Slack, and context-switching. Set a 'capacity budget': 70% planned work, 15% unplanned/bugs, 15% tech debt and improvements.

Start with a value stream map: list every step from customer request to delivery. For each step, ask 'Would the customer pay for this?' If no, it's a candidate for elimination. Target: eliminate 20% of non-value-adding activities each quarter until your process is 80%+ value-adding.